[Expected values for Cavalier are wrong]

10 minutes ago, seriych said:

There are two main reasons:
1. New vehicles first appears at more skilled players. Therefore, for any new vehicle, we first see higher expected values, and then they decrease.

2. HP for levels 1..6 were increased In wot verson 1.9, therefore, the damage increased too. Therefore, new vehicles will immediately receive increased values, and the old vehicles will slowly increase damage as the share of new statistics in the total will increases.

You can see both reasons here.

 

Thanks for the nice website, I will keep it bookmarked! But that means that the expected values are calculated using the best players? Because the average damage is very low on this tank, so average damage can hardly be the base?

I thought you take the average damage and then just multiply it by some factor to get the expected value.

[Expected values for Cavalier are wrong]

The expected value for the cavalier are 621.923  damage. This is very high, KV-220-2 for example has 651.826 while being vastly superiour.

 

The average damage for the Cavalier are 340.41 while for the KV-220-2 its 548.49.

 

Why are some expected values so much higher than the actual average damage?